Our Union Berlin vs St Pauli Prediction: 2-1
Union Berlin vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Union Berlin vs St Pauli stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Union Berlin's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
Union Berlin will be looking to bounce back after a 0-4 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Bayern Munich on March 21. In that match, Union Berlin recorded 26% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern Munich | 74% | 23 (9) | 5.52 | 67 |
Union Berlin | 26% | 2 (1) | 0.2 | 34 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs SC Freiburg
After suffering a 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I loss to SC Freiburg, St Pauli must win to get back on track. In that match, St Pauli controlled 49% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
St Pauli | 49% | 9 (5) | 0.76 | 52 |
SC Freiburg | 51% | 11 (6) | 2.03 | 31 |
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| Union Berlin | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Union Berlin are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Union Berlin 8-20
St Pauli 8-16
What are the odds for this match?
Union Berlin to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.4
St Pauli to win: @3.6



Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
St Pauli
SC Freiburg
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
TSG Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Augsburg
Mainz
Hamburg
Borussia M'gladbach
Werder Bremen
Cologne
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim