Our St Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 23, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This St Pauli vs Union Berlin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs St Pauli
St Pauli will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I setback against SC Freiburg on November 9. In that match, St Pauli recorded 40% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SC Freiburg | 60% | 9 (4) | 1.01 | 31 |
 St Pauli | 40% | 5 (2) | 0.44 | 34 |
Union Berlin's Last Match – Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
Union Berlin will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I share of the spoils with Bayern Munich on November 8. In that match, Union Berlin saw 26% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Berlin | 26% | 7 (4) | 0.84 | 34 |
 Bayern Munich | 74% | 5 (4) | 1.41 | 60 |
St Pauli vs Union Berlin Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 1.21 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Union Berlin average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
St Pauli 7-20
Union Berlin 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.3
Union Berlin to win: @2.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
St Pauli (3-3-2-2) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Louis Oppie, Jackson Irvine, Joel Chima Fujita, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage
Union Berlin (3-4-2-1) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Christopher Trimmel, Rani Khedira, Aljoscha Kemlein, Tom Rothe, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah, Andrej Ilic