Our Union Berlin vs St Pauli Prediction: 2-1
Union Berlin vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Union Berlin vs St Pauli stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Union Berlin's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
Union Berlin will be looking to bounce back after a 0-4 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Bayern Munich on March 21. In that match, Union Berlin recorded 26% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich | 74% | 23 (9) | 5.52 | 67 |
 Union Berlin | 26% | 2 (1) | 0.2 | 34 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs SC Freiburg
After suffering a 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I loss to SC Freiburg, St Pauli must win to get back on track. In that match, St Pauli controlled 49% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 49% | 9 (5) | 0.76 | 52 |
 SC Freiburg | 51% | 11 (6) | 2.03 | 31 |
Union Berlin vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| Union Berlin | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Union Berlin are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Union Berlin 8-20
St Pauli 8-16
What are the odds for this match?
Union Berlin to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.25
St Pauli to win: @3.8
Lineups
Union Berlin (3-4-1-2) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Janik Haberer, Andras Schafer, Rani Khedira, Derrick Kohn, Jeong Woo-yeong, Andrej Ilic, Oliver Burke
St Pauli (3-4-2-1) : Nikola Vasilj, Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Joel Chima Fujita, Mathias Rasmussen, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Mathias Pereira Lage, Martijn Kaars