Our Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction: 2-1
Birmingham vs Stoke in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Birmingham vs Stoke prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Birmingham's Last Match – Sheff Wed vs Birmingham
Birmingham will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 England Championship triumph against Sheff Wed on January 20. In that match, Birmingham had 50% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sheff Wed | 50% | 6 (1) | 0.35 | 37 |
 Birmingham | 50% | 11 (7) | 2.62 | 67 |
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Stoke will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 England Championship defeat against Middlesbrough on January 21. In that match, Stoke controlled 41% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 41% | 10 (4) | 0.6 | 47 |
 Middlesbrough | 59% | 11 (7) | 1.23 | 59 |
Birmingham vs Stoke Stats
Key Stats
| Birmingham | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Birmingham are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Stoke average 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Birmingham 13-16
Stoke 8-7
What are the odds for this match?
Birmingham to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.25
Stoke to win: @4.333