Our Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction: 2-1
Stoke vs Birmingham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 13, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Stoke vs Birmingham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs West Brom
Stoke will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 England Championship setback against West Brom on August 30. In that match, Stoke had 54% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 54% | 8 (3) | 0.94 | 46 |
 West Brom | 46% | 11 (3) | 0.66 | 37 |
Birmingham's Last Match – Leicester vs Birmingham
Birmingham must win to recover from their recent 0-2 England Championship defeat against Leicester on August 29 and regain momentum. In that match, Birmingham controlled 55% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leicester | 45% | 4 (2) | 0.55 | 19 |
 Birmingham | 55% | 5 (1) | 0.82 | 52 |
Stoke vs Birmingham Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 0.64 |
| 0.91 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Birmingham average 1.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Stoke 13-11
Birmingham 10-9
What are the odds for this match?
Stoke to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.25
Birmingham to win: @2.3
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
Stoke (4-2-3-1) : Viktor Johansson, Junior Tchamadeu, Bosun Lawal, Ben Wilmot, Aaron Cresswell, Lewis Baker, Ben Pearson, Million Manhoef, Tomas Rigo, Sorba Thomas, Divin Mubama
Birmingham (4-4-2) : Ryan Allsop, Alexander William Cochrane, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Ethan Laird, Patrick Roberts, Tomoki Iwata, Seung Ho Paik, Demarai Gray, Jay Stansfield, Tommy Doyle
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