Our Stoke vs Southampton Prediction: 2-1
Stoke vs Southampton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Stoke vs Southampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Birmingham vs Stoke
Stoke should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England Championship draw against Birmingham on January 24. In that match, Stoke recorded 55% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 45% | 10 (5) | 1.87 | 41 |
 Stoke | 55% | 4 (2) | 0.32 | 51 |
Southampton's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Southampton
Southampton will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Championship draw with Portsmouth on January 25. In that match, Southampton controlled 46% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portsmouth | 54% | 9 (3) | 1.63 | 53 |
 Southampton | 46% | 5 (4) | 1.11 | 32 |
Stoke vs Southampton Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.41 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Southampton average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.