Our Stoke vs Southampton Prediction: 2-1
Stoke vs Southampton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Stoke vs Southampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs QPR
Stoke should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 England Championship draw against QPR on January 17. In that match, Stoke recorded 73% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 73% | 11 (4) | 0.81 | 59 |
 QPR | 27% | 6 (2) | 0.28 | 21 |
Southampton's Last Match – Southampton vs Hull
Southampton will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 England Championship defeat against Hull on January 17. In that match, Southampton controlled 66% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 66% | 13 (5) | 2.68 | 79 |
 Hull | 34% | 4 (3) | 0.61 | 41 |
Stoke vs Southampton Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.41 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Southampton average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.