Our Stoke vs Southampton Prediction: 2-1
Stoke vs Southampton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Stoke vs Southampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Coventry
Stoke will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 England FA Cup victory over Coventry, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Stoke recorded 39% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stoke | 39% | 8 (3) | 2.4 | 26 |
Coventry | 61% | 6 (1) | 0.55 | 59 |
Southampton's Last Match – Doncaster vs Southampton
Southampton will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 England FA Cup victory over Doncaster on January 10. In that match, Southampton controlled 55% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Doncaster | 45% | 12 (5) | 1.74 | 48 |
Southampton | 55% | 8 (5) | 0.89 | 35 |
Stoke vs Southampton Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 1.4 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Southampton average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.



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