Our Derby vs Swansea Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Swansea in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Derby vs Swansea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Ipswich
Derby will look to get back on track following a 1-2 England Championship loss against Ipswich on February 7. In that match, Derby had 54% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 54% | 4 (1) | 1.03 | 56 |
 Ipswich | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.27 | 47 |
Swansea's Last Match – Swansea vs Sheff Wed
Swansea will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-0 England Championship triumph against Sheff Wed on February 8.
Derby vs Swansea Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Swansea average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Derby 15-12
Swansea 16-9
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.25
Swansea to win: @3.4
Lineups
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Callum Elder, David Ozoh, Oscar Fraulo, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang
Swansea (4-1-4-1) : Lawrence Vigouroux, Ethan Gaibraith, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Marko Stamenic, Ronald Pereira Martins, Goncalo Franco, Liam Cullen, Eom Ji-sung, Zan Vipotnik