Our Derby vs Swansea Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Swansea in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Derby vs Swansea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Preston vs Derby
Derby will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 England Championship victory over Preston on January 17. In that match, Derby had 49% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Preston | 51% | 6 (1) | 0.73 | 35 |
 Derby | 49% | 12 (4) | 1.75 | 58 |
Swansea's Last Match – Swansea vs Birmingham
Swansea will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 England Championship stalemate against Birmingham on January 17. In that match, Swansea controlled 50% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swansea | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.6 | 36 |
 Birmingham | 50% | 7 (1) | 1.02 | 39 |
Derby vs Swansea Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Swansea average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.