Our Swansea vs Derby Prediction: 2-1
Swansea vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 5, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Swansea vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Swansea's Last Match – Leeds vs Swansea
Swansea should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 England Championship draw against Leeds on March 29. In that match, Swansea recorded 45% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leeds | 55% | 11 (6) | 1.75 | 33 |
 Swansea | 45% | 8 (6) | 1.98 | 43 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Preston
Derby will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-0 England Championship victory over Preston on April 2. In that match, Derby controlled 35% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 35% | 3 (2) | 0.66 | 45 |
 Preston | 65% | 3 (1) | 0.29 | 36 |
Swansea vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Swansea | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.18 | Defence Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Swansea are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Swansea 8-11
Derby 10-11
What are the odds for this match?
Swansea to win: @2
Draw: @3.3
Derby to win: @3.8
Lineups
Swansea (5-3-2) : Lawrence Vigouroux, Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Harry Darling, Hannes Delcroix, Josh Tymon, Goncalo Franco, Jay Fulton, Lewis O'Brien, Ronald Pereira Martins, Liam Cullen
Derby (3-5-2) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Kane Wilson, Sondre Klingen Langas, Nat Phillips, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Liam Thompson, Marcus Harness, Kayden Jackson