Our Swansea vs Derby Prediction: 1-2
Swansea vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday November 25, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Swansea vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Swansea's Last Match – Bristol City vs Swansea
Swansea will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-3 England Championship loss to Bristol City on November 22. In that match, Swansea saw 56% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bristol City | 44% | 12 (7) | 2.03 | 39 |
 Swansea | 56% | 10 (6) | 0.85 | 61 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Watford
Derby must win to recover from their recent 2-3 England Championship defeat against Watford on November 22 and regain momentum. In that match, Derby had 37% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 37% | 5 (5) | 0.64 | 51 |
 Watford | 63% | 7 (7) | 1.47 | 45 |
Swansea vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Swansea | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Attacking Strength | 1.37 |
| 1.37 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Swansea are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Swansea 9-19
Derby 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
Swansea to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.1
Derby to win: @3.5
Lineups
Swansea (4-2-3-1) : Lawrence Vigouroux, Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Jay Fulton, Cameron Burgess, Ethan Gaibraith, Josh Tymon, Ronald Pereira Martins, Liam Cullen, Eom Ji-sung, Zan Vipotnik
Derby (3-4-2-1) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Sondre Klingen Langas, Danny Batth, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, Ebou Adams, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton, Patrick Agyemang, Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
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