Our Sweden vs Poland Prediction: 1-1
Sweden vs Poland in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 31, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Sweden vs Poland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sweden's Last Match – Ukraine vs Sweden
Sweden will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 Europe - World Cup Qualifying success over Ukraine on March 26. In that match, Sweden recorded 32% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine | 68% | 5 (4) | 0.78 | 50 |
 Sweden | 32% | 6 (4) | 2.37 | 26 |
Poland's Last Match – Poland vs Albania
Determined to maintain their recent success, Poland must win following their 2-1 Europe - World Cup Qualifying victory against Albania on March 26. In that match, Poland controlled 49% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poland | 49% | 10 (4) | 0.91 | 49 |
 Albania | 51% | 4 (2) | 1.11 | 35 |
Sweden vs Poland Stats
Key Stats
| Sweden | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Attacking Strength | 1.77 |
| 0.43 | Defence Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sweden are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Poland average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Sweden 18-17
Poland 18-8
What are the odds for this match?
Sweden to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.25
Poland to win: @4
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95