Our Tepatitlan FC vs Atletico Morelia Prediction: 2-1
Tepatitlan FC vs Atletico Morelia in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tepatitlan FC's Last Match – Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlan FC
Tepatitlan FC will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 3-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw with Mineros de Zacatecas on September 27. In that match, Tepatitlan FC had 49% possession and 17 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mineros de Zacatecas | 51% | 11 (5) | - | 57 |
Tepatitlan FC | 49% | 17 (9) | - | 69 |
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Atlante
Atletico Morelia must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Atlante on September 28. In that match, Atletico Morelia recorded 44% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Morelia | 44% | 7 (1) | - | 44 |
 Atlante | 56% | 15 (9) | - | 62 |
Tepatitlan FC vs Atletico Morelia Stats
Key Stats
| Tepatitlan FC | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tepatitlan FC are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Atletico Morelia average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Tepatitlan FC 18-9
Atletico Morelia 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
Tepatitlan FC to win: @2
Draw: @3.7
Atletico Morelia to win: @3.4
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