Our Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan FC Prediction: 1-0
Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 15, 2026. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Atletico Morelia seems the most probable outcome against Tepatitlan FC.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atlante vs Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion setback against Atlante on March 7. In that match, Atletico Morelia recorded 39% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlante | 61% | 0 (4) | - | 63 |
 Atletico Morelia | 39% | 0 (2) | - | 19 |
Tepatitlan FC's Last Match – Tepatitlan FC vs Mineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlan FC will want to continue their winning form after a 4-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Mineros de Zacatecas, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Tepatitlan FC saw 48% of the ball and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tepatitlan FC | 48% | 0 (5) | - | 62 |
 Mineros de Zacatecas | 52% | 0 (6) | - | 58 |
Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan FC Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Tepatitlan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | Attacking Strength | 0.54 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 0.46 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Tepatitlan FC average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
Atletico Morelia 13-6
Tepatitlan FC 12-5
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Morelia to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.7
Tepatitlan FC to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Atletico Morelia 
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