Our Tepatitlan FC vs Oaxaca Prediction: 2-1
Tepatitlan FC vs Oaxaca in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 4, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tepatitlan FC's Last Match – Cancun FC vs Tepatitlan FC
Determined to get back to winning ways, Tepatitlan FC must win after their 2-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw against Cancun FC on March 29. In that match, Tepatitlan FC saw 51% of the ball and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cancun FC | 49% | 0 (4) | - | 48 |
Tepatitlan FC | 51% | 0 (4) | - | 39 |
Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Universidad Guadalajara
Oaxaca will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw with Universidad Guadalajara on March 28. In that match, Oaxaca had 59% possession and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Oaxaca | 59% | 0 (7) | - | 71 |
Universidad Guadalajara | 41% | 0 (6) | - | 46 |
Tepatitlan FC vs Oaxaca Stats
Key Stats
| Tepatitlan FC | Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 1.08 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 1.2 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tepatitlan FC are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Oaxaca average 1.6 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Tepatitlan FC 16-8
Oaxaca 16-21
What are the odds for this match?
Tepatitlan FC to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.2
Oaxaca to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875


Oaxaca
Universidad Guadalajara