Our Tepatitlan FC vs Venados FC Prediction: 2-1
Tepatitlan FC vs Venados FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 21, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tepatitlan FC's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan FC
Tepatitlan FC will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss to Atletico Morelia on March 15. In that match, Tepatitlan FC saw 41% of the ball and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Morelia | 59% | 0 (5) | - | 55 |
Tepatitlan FC | 41% | 0 (5) | - | 43 |
Venados FC's Last Match – Venados FC vs Correcaminos
Venados FC must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Correcaminos on March 7 and regain momentum. In that match, Venados FC recorded 58% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venados FC | 58% | 0 (5) | - | 71 |
 Correcaminos | 42% | 0 (3) | - | 38 |
Tepatitlan FC vs Venados FC Stats
Key Stats
| Tepatitlan FC | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.28 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tepatitlan FC are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Venados FC average 2.1 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Tepatitlan FC 14-7
Venados FC 21-19
What are the odds for this match?
Tepatitlan FC to win: @1.615
Draw: @4.1
Venados FC to win: @4.1