Our Tigres UANL vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction: 1-1
Tigres UANL vs Chivas Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tigres UANL's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 CONCACAF Champions Cup victory over Seattle Sounders, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Tigres UANL recorded 58% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tigres UANL | 58% | 13 (5) | 1.83 | 69 |
 Seattle Sounders | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.45 | 27 |
Chivas Guadalajara's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Unam Pumas
Chivas Guadalajara must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Mexico Liga MX draw against Unam Pumas on April 6. In that match, Chivas Guadalajara recorded 70% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 12 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 70% | 16 (12) | 2.78 | 98 |
 Unam Pumas | 30% | 3 (2) | 0.79 | 28 |
Tigres UANL vs Chivas Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Tigres UANL | Chivas Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.25 |
| 0.5 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tigres UANL are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Chivas Guadalajara average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Tigres UANL 15-13
Chivas Guadalajara 20-10
What are the odds for this match?
Tigres UANL to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.4
Chivas Guadalajara to win: @2.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Tigres UANL (4-2-3-1) : Nahuel Guzman, Jesus Garza, Joaquim, Rafael Guerrero, Jesus Angulo, Fernando Gorriaran, Cesar Araujo, Angel Correa, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Jonathan Herrera, Rodrigo Aguirre
Chivas Guadalajara (3-4-2-1) : Raul Rangel, Daniel Aguirre, Diego Campillo Del Campo, Jose Castillo, Miguel Alejandro Gomez Ortiz, Luis Romo, Ruben Gonzalez, Bryan Gonzalez, Roberto Alvarado, Efrain Alvarez, Armando Gonzalez