Our Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC Prediction: 2-0
Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 12, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat at the hands of Universidad Guadalajara on April 5. In that match, Atletico Morelia had 54% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Universidad Guadalajara | 46% | 0 (3) | - | 45 |
 Atletico Morelia | 54% | 0 (4) | - | 65 |
Tlaxcala FC's Last Match – Tapatio vs Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Tapatio on April 7. In that match, Tlaxcala FC recorded 45% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 55% | 0 (4) | - | 67 |
Tlaxcala FC | 45% | 0 (2) | - | 56 |
Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Tlaxcala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 0.54 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Tlaxcala FC average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Atletico Morelia 12-11
Tlaxcala FC 12-11
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Morelia to win: @1.7
Draw: @4.1
Tlaxcala FC to win: @4.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Atletico Morelia 
Atlante 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Jaiba Brava 
Oaxaca 
Venados FC 
Correcaminos 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Dorados