Our Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 12, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Tapatio vs Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat at the hands of Tapatio on March 22. In that match, Atletico Morelia had 63% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 37% | 0 (4) | - | 54 |
Atletico Morelia | 63% | 0 (2) | - | 88 |
Tlaxcala FC's Last Match – Jaiba Brava vs Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 0-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw with Jaiba Brava on March 22. In that match, Tlaxcala FC recorded 46% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaiba Brava | 54% | 0 (2) | - | 57 |
Tlaxcala FC | 46% | 0 (1) | - | 31 |
Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Tlaxcala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.72 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Tlaxcala FC average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.


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