Our Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Tepatitlan FC vs Atletico Morelia
After suffering a 2-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss to Tepatitlan FC, Atletico Morelia must win to get back on track. In that match, Atletico Morelia saw 61% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tepatitlan FC | 39% | 0 (4) | - | 31 |
 Atletico Morelia | 61% | 0 (8) | - | 57 |
Tapatio's Last Match – Tapatio vs Oaxaca
Tapatio will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat at the hands of Oaxaca on October 3. In that match, Tapatio recorded 53% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 53% | 0 (4) | - | 53 |
 Oaxaca | 47% | 0 (5) | - | 62 |
Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Tapatio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 1.08 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Tapatio average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Atletico Morelia 13-20
Tapatio 13-12
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Morelia to win: @1.75
Draw: @3.6
Tapatio to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Oaxaca 
Atlante 
Atletico Morelia 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Correcaminos 
Dorados 
Jaiba Brava 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Venados FC