Our Tapatio vs Atletico Morelia Prediction: 1-2
Tapatio vs Atletico Morelia in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tapatio's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Tapatio
Tapatio will hope to recover from their recent 3-4 Mexico Liga de Expansion setback against Oaxaca on March 13. In that match, Tapatio recorded 54% possession and 9 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Oaxaca | 46% | 0 (7) | - | 47 |
Tapatio | 54% | 0 (9) | - | 63 |
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan FC
Atletico Morelia will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion triumph against Tepatitlan FC on March 15. In that match, Atletico Morelia had 59% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Morelia | 59% | 0 (5) | - | 55 |
Tepatitlan FC | 41% | 0 (5) | - | 43 |
Tapatio vs Atletico Morelia Stats
Key Stats
| Tapatio | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.36 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tapatio are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Atletico Morelia average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Tapatio 24-17
Atletico Morelia 16-8
What are the odds for this match?
Tapatio to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.8
Atletico Morelia to win: @2.8


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