Our Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Tepatitlan FC vs Atletico Morelia
After suffering a 2-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss to Tepatitlan FC, Atletico Morelia must win to get back on track. In that match, Atletico Morelia saw 61% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tepatitlan FC | 39% | 0 (4) | - | 31 |
 Atletico Morelia | 61% | 0 (8) | - | 57 |
Tapatio's Last Match – Tapatio vs Oaxaca
Tapatio will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat at the hands of Oaxaca on October 3. In that match, Tapatio recorded 53% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 53% | 0 (4) | - | 53 |
 Oaxaca | 47% | 0 (5) | - | 62 |
Atletico Morelia vs Tapatio Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Tapatio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 1.08 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Tapatio average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Jaiba Brava 
Atlante 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Venados FC 
Atletico Morelia 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Oaxaca 
Correcaminos 
Dorados