Our Toluca vs Club America Prediction: 3-1
Toluca vs Club America in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Atlas vs Toluca
Toluca will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Atlas on November 1. In that match, Toluca had 66% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlas | 34% | 6 (1) | 0.92 | 40 |
 Toluca | 66% | 12 (5) | 1.39 | 45 |
Club America's Last Match – Club America vs Leon
Club America will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Leon, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Club America controlled 46% of possession and managed 17 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club America | 46% | 17 (8) | 1.34 | 55 |
 Leon | 54% | 5 (1) | 0.3 | 35 |
Toluca vs Club America Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | Attacking Strength | 1.17 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Club America average 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Toluca 28-10
Club America 19-11
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @2.25
Draw: @3.6
Club America to win: @3
Lineups
Toluca (3-4-2-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Diego Zaragoza, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Jesus Gallardo, Helinho, Nicolas Federico Castro, Paulinho
Club America (4-2-3-1) : Luis Malagon, Kevin Alvarez, Sebastian Caceres, Ramon Juarez, Cristian Borja, Erick Sanchez, Israel Reyes, Alexis Gutierrez, Alvaro Fidalgo, Allan Saint-Maximin, Brian Rodriguez