Our Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1
Mazatlan FC vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 23, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Mazatlan FC vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mazatlan FC's Last Match – Necaxa vs Mazatlan FC
Mazatlan FC must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Necaxa on April 4 and regain momentum. In that match, Mazatlan FC recorded 40% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Necaxa | 60% | 12 (6) | 2.29 | 58 |
Mazatlan FC | 40% | 6 (4) | 0.79 | 35 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs LA Galaxy
Toluca will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-2 CONCACAF Champions Cup success over LA Galaxy on April 9. In that match, Toluca recorded 72% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toluca | 72% | 13 (7) | 2.33 | 67 |
LA Galaxy | 28% | 5 (3) | 1.23 | 21 |
Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Mazatlan FC | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.5 | Defence Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mazatlan FC are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.



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