Our Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1
Mazatlan FC vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 23, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Mazatlan FC vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mazatlan FC's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Mazatlan FC
Mazatlan FC must win to recover from their recent 1-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Unam Pumas on April 12 and regain momentum. In that match, Mazatlan FC recorded 39% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unam Pumas | 61% | 11 (8) | 2.22 | 53 |
 Mazatlan FC | 39% | 12 (5) | 1.13 | 45 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Atletico San Luis
Toluca will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw with Atletico San Luis on April 13. In that match, Toluca recorded 61% possession, firing 22 shots at goal, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 61% | 22 (10) | 1.09 | 53 |
 Atletico San Luis | 39% | 8 (1) | 0.45 | 28 |
Mazatlan FC vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Mazatlan FC | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.5 | Defence Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mazatlan FC are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.