Our Toluca vs Unam Pumas Prediction: 4-1
Toluca vs Unam Pumas in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 17, 2025. Our analysis favors a 4-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Juarez FC vs Toluca
Toluca will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX success over Juarez FC on August 12. In that match, Toluca saw 40% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Juarez FC | 60% | 6 (0) | 0.19 | 50 |
Toluca | 40% | 5 (3) | 0.67 | 19 |
Unam Pumas's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Necaxa
Unam Pumas will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX stalemate against Necaxa on August 11. In that match, Unam Pumas had 66% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unam Pumas | 66% | 9 (5) | 1.78 | 70 |
Necaxa | 34% | 4 (5) | 0.71 | 23 |
Toluca vs Unam Pumas Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Unam Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Unam Pumas average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Toluca 23-12
Unam Pumas 13-16
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.7
Unam Pumas to win: @4.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85