Our Unam Pumas vs Toluca Prediction: 0-1
Unam Pumas vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:10 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A close and tactical battle awaits, but Toluca’s attacking edge might be enough to secure a 0-1 win against Unam Pumas.
Our prediction is supported by key Unam Pumas vs Toluca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Unam Pumas's Last Match – Tijuana vs Unam Pumas
Unam Pumas should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Tijuana on February 28. In that match, Unam Pumas recorded 71% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tijuana | 29% | 7 (3) | 0.43 | 41 |
 Unam Pumas | 71% | 13 (3) | 1.66 | 57 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara
Toluca will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Chivas Guadalajara on February 28. In that match, Toluca saw 46% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 46% | 8 (5) | 1.41 | 28 |
 Chivas Guadalajara | 54% | 7 (4) | 0.66 | 44 |
Unam Pumas vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Unam Pumas | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.31 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Unam Pumas are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.3 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
Unam Pumas 17-11
Toluca 13-4
What are the odds for this match?
Unam Pumas to win: @3.8
Draw: @3.3
Toluca to win: @2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Unam Pumas (4-4-2) : Keylor Navas, Rodrigo Lopez, Nathan Silva, Angel Azuaje, Alvaro Angulo, Alan Medina, Adalberto Carrasquilla, Pedro Vite, Jordan Carrillo, Robert Morales, Juninho
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Diego Zaragoza, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Luan, Pavel Perez, Ricardo Angulo, Jorge Diaz, Paulinho
Chivas Guadalajara 
Cruz Azul 
Pachuca 
Unam Pumas 
Toluca 
Tigres UANL 
Club America 
Atlas 
Leon 
Tijuana 
Juarez FC 
Necaxa 
Monterrey 
Atletico San Luis 
Queretaro 
Puebla 
Mazatlan FC 
Santos Laguna