Toluca vs Unam Pumas Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Toluca vs Unam Pumas Prediction: 4-1

Toluca vs Unam Pumas in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 17, 2025. Our analysis favors a 4-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.

This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.

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Recent Form Insights

Toluca's Last Match – Juarez FC vs Toluca

Toluca will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX success over Juarez FC on August 12. In that match, Toluca saw 40% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 3 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Juarez FC	60%	6 (0)	0.19	50
Toluca	40%	5 (3)	0.67	19

Unam Pumas's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Necaxa

Unam Pumas will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX stalemate against Necaxa on August 11. In that match, Unam Pumas had 66% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Unam Pumas	66%	9 (5)	1.78	70
Necaxa	34%	4 (5)	0.71	23

Toluca vs Unam Pumas Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Toluca are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Unam Pumas average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Toluca to win: @1.666

Draw: @3.7

Unam Pumas to win: @4.75

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85

Toluca Fixtures

Unam Pumas Fixtures