Our Unam Pumas vs Toluca Prediction: 0-1
Unam Pumas vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:10 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A close and tactical battle awaits, but Toluca’s attacking edge might be enough to secure a 0-1 win against Unam Pumas.
Our prediction is supported by key Unam Pumas vs Toluca stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Unam Pumas's Last Match – Tijuana vs Unam Pumas
Unam Pumas should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Mexico Liga MX draw against Tijuana on February 28. In that match, Unam Pumas recorded 71% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tijuana | 29% | 7 (3) | 0.43 | 41 |
 Unam Pumas | 71% | 13 (3) | 1.66 | 57 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara
Toluca will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Chivas Guadalajara on February 28. In that match, Toluca saw 46% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 46% | 8 (5) | 1.41 | 28 |
 Chivas Guadalajara | 54% | 7 (4) | 0.66 | 44 |
Unam Pumas vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Unam Pumas | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.31 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Unam Pumas are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.3 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
Unam Pumas 17-11
Toluca 13-4
What are the odds for this match?
Unam Pumas to win: @3.8
Draw: @3.3
Toluca to win: @2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Unam Pumas (4-4-2) : Keylor Navas, Rodrigo Lopez, Nathan Silva, Angel Azuaje, Alvaro Angulo, Alan Medina, Adalberto Carrasquilla, Pedro Vite, Jordan Carrillo, Robert Morales, Juninho
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Diego Zaragoza, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Luan, Pavel Perez, Ricardo Angulo, Jorge Diaz, Paulinho