Our Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction: 1-2
Marseille vs Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 6, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Marseille vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Reims vs Marseille
Marseille will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-3 France Ligue 1 loss to Reims on March 29. In that match, Marseille saw 80% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Reims | 20% | 6 (5) | 0.97 | 10 |
Marseille | 80% | 8 (6) | 1.05 | 115 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Brest
Toulouse will look to get back on track following a 2-4 France Ligue 1 loss against Brest on March 30. In that match, Toulouse recorded 53% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toulouse | 53% | 6 (5) | 2.06 | 51 |
Brest | 47% | 6 (5) | 1.28 | 17 |
Marseille vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 0.62 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Marseille 15-16
Toulouse 16-16
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.75
Draw: @3.8
Toulouse to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Marseille (3-4-2-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Amir Murillo, Derek Cornelius, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Luis Henrique, Ismael Bennacer, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Neal Maupay
Toulouse (3-4-2-1) : Guillaume Restes, Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie, Aron Donnum, Cristian Casseres Jr, Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo, Shavy Babicka, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri