Our Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction: 3-1
Marseille vs Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 20:05 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 29, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This Marseille vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Newcastle
Marseille must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory over Newcastle in their last outing. In that match, Marseille saw 58% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marseille | 58% | 12 (7) | 1.64 | 59 |
Newcastle | 42% | 11 (9) | 1.46 | 52 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Angers
Toulouse will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 France Ligue 1 defeat at the hands of Angers on November 23. In that match, Toulouse recorded 54% possession, firing 19 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toulouse | 54% | 19 (6) | 2.17 | 63 |
Angers | 46% | 5 (2) | 0.43 | 21 |
Marseille vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 0.91 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Marseille 24-11
Toulouse 12-11
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.9
Toulouse to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825



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