Our Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction: 2-1
Marseille vs Toulouse in the France Cup is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Marseille vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Brest vs Marseille
Marseille must win to recover from their recent 0-2 France Ligue 1 defeat against Brest on February 20 and regain momentum. In that match, Marseille had 68% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brest | 32% | 10 (6) | 1.13 | 20 |
 Marseille | 68% | 11 (3) | 1.42 | 81 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Paris FC
Toulouse will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 France Ligue 1 draw with Paris FC on February 21. In that match, Toulouse controlled 55% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toulouse | 55% | 13 (9) | 2.89 | 62 |
 Paris FC | 45% | 4 (3) | 0.82 | 22 |
Marseille vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Attacking Strength | 1.29 |
| 0.42 | Defence Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.