Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction: 2-1
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs PSV
Bayer Leverkusen will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 UEFA Champions League share of the spoils with PSV on October 1. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen saw 46% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 46% | 10 (4) | 1.83 | 42 |
 PSV | 54% | 4 (1) | 0.48 | 52 |
Union Berlin's Last Match – Union Berlin vs Hamburg
Determined to get back to winning ways, Union Berlin must win after their 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Hamburg on September 28. In that match, Union Berlin recorded 34% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Berlin | 34% | 10 (2) | 1.37 | 47 |
 Hamburg | 66% | 18 (6) | 1.08 | 40 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Stats
Key Stats
| Bayer Leverkusen | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayer Leverkusen are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Union Berlin average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Bayer Leverkusen 19-14
Union Berlin 13-15
What are the odds for this match?
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @1.7
Draw: @4
Union Berlin to win: @4.75
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Mark Flekken, Jarell Quansah, Loic Bade, Edmond Tapsoba, Lucas Vazquez, Ezequiel Fernandez, Aleix Garcia, Alex Grimaldo, Malik Tillman, Ernest Poku, Christian Michel Kofane
Union Berlin (3-4-2-1) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Christopher Trimmel, Rani Khedira, Andras Schafer, Derrick Kohn, Oliver Burke, Jeong Woo-yeong, Andrej Ilic