Our Atletico Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Tapatio vs Atletico Morelia
Atletico Morelia must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Tapatio on March 22. In that match, Atletico Morelia saw 63% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tapatio | 37% | 0 (4) | - | 54 |
 Atletico Morelia | 63% | 0 (2) | - | 88 |
Universidad Guadalajara's Last Match – Universidad Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas
Universidad Guadalajara will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion setback against Mineros de Zacatecas on March 22. In that match, Universidad Guadalajara recorded 53% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Universidad Guadalajara | 53% | 0 (6) | - | 77 |
 Mineros de Zacatecas | 47% | 0 (8) | - | 63 |
Atletico Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Morelia | Universidad Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.38 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Morelia are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Universidad Guadalajara average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Atletico Morelia 
Atlante 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Jaiba Brava 
Correcaminos 
Oaxaca 
Venados FC 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Dorados