Our Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia Prediction: 1-1
Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 5, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Universidad Guadalajara's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Universidad Guadalajara
Universidad Guadalajara must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw against Oaxaca on March 28. In that match, Universidad Guadalajara saw 41% of the ball and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oaxaca | 59% | 0 (7) | - | 71 |
 Universidad Guadalajara | 41% | 0 (6) | - | 46 |
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Irapuato
Atletico Morelia will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion success over Irapuato on March 29. In that match, Atletico Morelia recorded 31% possession and 4 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Morelia | 31% | 0 (4) | - | 36 |
Irapuato | 69% | 0 (4) | - | 66 |
Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia Stats
Key Stats
| Universidad Guadalajara | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | Attacking Strength | 1.36 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 0.57 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Universidad Guadalajara are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Atletico Morelia average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Universidad Guadalajara 7-20
Atletico Morelia 15-9
What are the odds for this match?
Universidad Guadalajara to win: @2.05
Draw: @3.1
Atletico Morelia to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85