Our Burgos vs Valencia Prediction: 0-1
Burgos vs Valencia in the Spain Copa del Rey is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 15, 2026. Burgos could struggle to break down Valencia’s defense, making a 0-1 away win the most likely outcome in this matchup.
This Burgos vs Valencia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burgos's Last Match – Burgos vs Eibar
Determined to maintain their recent success, Burgos must win following their 1-0 Spain Segunda victory against Eibar on January 10. In that match, Burgos controlled 52% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burgos | 52% | 8 (5) | 0.9 | 47 |
 Eibar | 48% | 8 (2) | 0.37 | 37 |
Valencia's Last Match – Valencia vs Elche
Valencia will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Spain La Liga stalemate against Elche on January 10. In that match, Valencia recorded 39% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Valencia | 39% | 12 (4) | 1.95 | 54 |
 Elche | 61% | 2 (1) | 0.15 | 39 |
Burgos vs Valencia Stats
Key Stats
| Burgos | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.49 | Defence Strength | 0.17 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burgos are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Valencia average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Burgos 10-9
Valencia 12-12
What are the odds for this match?
Burgos to win: @4
Draw: @3.4
Valencia to win: @1.9