Our Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Prediction: 1-0
Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle in the Copa Sudamericana is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday July 23, 2025. Independiente del Valle will put up a fight, but Independiente del Valle’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
This Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Vasco da Gama's Last Match – Vasco da Gama vs Gremio
Vasco da Gama will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Brazil Serie A stalemate against Gremio on July 19. In that match, Vasco da Gama had 64% possession and 16 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vasco da Gama | 64% | 16 (7) | 2.21 | 70 |
 Gremio | 36% | 7 (4) | 0.82 | 9 |
Independiente del Valle's Last Match – Independiente del Valle vs SD Aucas
Independiente del Valle will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A victory over SD Aucas, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Independiente del Valle recorded 52% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente del Valle | 52% | 0 (2) | 0.52 | 2 |
 SD Aucas | 48% | 0 (2) | 0.42 | 4 |
Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Stats
Key Stats
| Vasco da Gama | Independiente del Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.16 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Vasco da Gama are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Independiente del Valle average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Vasco da Gama 12-14
Independiente del Valle 19-8
Lineups
Vasco da Gama (4-2-3-1) : Leo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Victor Luis, Tche Tche, Joao Victor, Jair, Rayan, Hugo Moura, Pablo Vegetti, Nuno Moreira, David
Independiente del Valle (4-3-3) : Guido Villar, Matias Fernandez, Gustavo Cortez, Jordy Alcivar, Mateo Carabajal, Richard Schunke, Darwin Guagua, Patrik Mercado, Claudio Spinelli, Renato Ibarra, Ronald Briones