Our Villarreal vs Barcelona Prediction: 3-2
Villarreal vs Barcelona in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. A 3-2 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Villarreal vs Barcelona prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Villarreal's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal
Villarreal will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-4 UEFA Champions League loss to Borussia Dortmund on November 25. In that match, Villarreal recorded 33% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 67% | 10 (8) | 3.29 | 58 |
 Villarreal | 33% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 31 |
Barcelona's Last Match – Chelsea vs Barcelona
Barcelona will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 UEFA Champions League defeat at the hands of Chelsea on November 25. In that match, Barcelona saw 45% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 55% | 9 (6) | 1.75 | 48 |
 Barcelona | 45% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 22 |
Villarreal vs Barcelona Stats
Key Stats
| Villarreal | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.99 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Villarreal are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Barcelona average 2.5 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.