Our Birmingham vs Watford Prediction: 3-1
Birmingham vs Watford in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Monday December 1, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Birmingham vs Watford prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Birmingham's Last Match – Birmingham vs Norwich
Birmingham will want to continue their winning form after a 4-1 England Championship victory over Norwich, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Birmingham had 51% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 51% | 11 (8) | 3.38 | 42 |
 Norwich | 49% | 7 (8) | 1.38 | 40 |
Watford's Last Match – Watford vs Preston
Watford must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 England Championship draw against Preston on November 25. In that match, Watford saw 56% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Watford | 56% | 11 (4) | 1.72 | 54 |
 Preston | 44% | 4 (1) | 0.97 | 34 |
Birmingham vs Watford Stats
Key Stats
| Birmingham | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 0.59 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Birmingham are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Watford average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Birmingham 19-13
Watford 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Birmingham to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
Watford to win: @4.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95