Our Watford vs Birmingham Prediction: 2-0
Watford vs Birmingham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 1, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Watford vs Birmingham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Watford's Last Match – Norwich vs Watford
Watford will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 England Championship triumph against Norwich on December 29. In that match, Watford recorded 45% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Norwich | 55% | 3 (1) | 0.94 | 66 |
 Watford | 45% | 5 (1) | 0.42 | 17 |
Birmingham's Last Match – Birmingham vs Southampton
Birmingham will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 England Championship draw with Southampton on December 29. In that match, Birmingham recorded 38% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 38% | 15 (4) | 1.62 | 38 |
 Southampton | 62% | 6 (5) | 1.1 | 48 |
Watford vs Birmingham Stats
Key Stats
| Watford | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Attacking Strength | 0.5 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Watford are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Birmingham average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Watford 16-12
Birmingham 13-16
What are the odds for this match?
Watford to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.3
Birmingham to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @2
Lineups
Watford (4-4-2) : Egil Selvik, James Abankwah, Max Alleyne, Matthew Pollock, Marc Bola, Othmane Maamma, Hector Matthew Kyprianou, Imran Louza, Tom Ince, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Luca Kjerrumgaard
Birmingham (4-2-3-1) : James Beadle, Alfons Sampsted, Phil Neumann, Jack Robinson, Alexander William Cochrane, Tomoki Iwata, Seung Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Willum Thor Willumsson, Keshi Anderson, Kyogo Furuhashi