Our Derby vs Watford Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Watford in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 22, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Derby vs Watford prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Blackburn vs Derby
Derby will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 England Championship triumph against Blackburn on November 8. In that match, Derby saw 35% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Blackburn | 65% | 6 (3) | 1.09 | 64 |
Derby | 35% | 5 (4) | 0.48 | 22 |
Watford's Last Match – Watford vs Bristol City
Watford will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Championship draw with Bristol City on November 7. In that match, Watford had 64% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Watford | 64% | 12 (10) | 1.38 | 53 |
Bristol City | 36% | 6 (4) | 0.69 | 33 |
Derby vs Watford Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 0.96 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Watford average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Derby 12-8
Watford 14-12
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.2
Watford to win: @2.875



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