Our Watford vs Derby Prediction: 1-2
Watford vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.
This Watford vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Watford's Last Match – Preston vs Watford
Watford should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 England Championship draw against Preston on February 14. In that match, Watford recorded 49% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Preston | 51% | 7 (3) | 0.64 | 48 |
 Watford | 49% | 13 (5) | 0.86 | 44 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Swansea
Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 2-0 England Championship victory against Swansea on February 14. In that match, Derby saw 28% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 28% | 7 (6) | 0.8 | 19 |
 Swansea | 72% | 7 (2) | 1 | 38 |
Watford vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Watford | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.8 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Watford are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Watford 9-14
Derby 16-11
What are the odds for this match?
Watford to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.3
Derby to win: @3.4
Lineups
Watford (4-2-3-1) : Egil Selvik, Jeremy Ngakia, James Abankwah, Saba Goglichidze, Stephen Mfuni, Nampalys Mendy, Edo Kayembe, Nestory Irankunda, Imran Louza, Othmane Maamma, Luca Kjerrumgaard
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Callum Elder, David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang