Our Watford vs Derby Prediction: 1-2
Watford vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.
This Watford vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Watford's Last Match – Preston vs Watford
Watford should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 England Championship draw against Preston on February 14. In that match, Watford recorded 49% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Preston | 51% | 7 (3) | 0.64 | 48 |
 Watford | 49% | 13 (5) | 0.86 | 44 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Swansea
Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 2-0 England Championship victory against Swansea on February 14. In that match, Derby saw 28% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 28% | 7 (6) | 0.8 | 19 |
 Swansea | 72% | 7 (2) | 1 | 38 |
Watford vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Watford | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.8 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Watford are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Watford 9-14
Derby 16-11
What are the odds for this match?
Watford to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.3
Derby to win: @3.4
Lineups
Watford (4-2-3-1) : Egil Selvik, Jeremy Ngakia, James Abankwah, Saba Goglichidze, Stephen Mfuni, Nampalys Mendy, Edo Kayembe, Nestory Irankunda, Imran Louza, Othmane Maamma, Luca Kjerrumgaard
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Callum Elder, David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang
Coventry 
Middlesbrough 
Millwall 
Ipswich 
Hull 
Wrexham 
Southampton 
Derby 
Watford 
Birmingham 
Swansea 
Bristol City 
Sheff Utd 
Preston 
Norwich 
Stoke 
Charlton 
QPR 
Portsmouth 
Blackburn 
Leicester 
Oxford Utd 
West Brom 
Sheff Wed