Our Derby vs Watford Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Watford in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 22, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Derby vs Watford prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Blackburn vs Derby
Derby will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 England Championship triumph against Blackburn on November 8. In that match, Derby saw 35% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blackburn | 65% | 6 (3) | 1.09 | 64 |
 Derby | 35% | 5 (4) | 0.48 | 22 |
Watford's Last Match – Watford vs Bristol City
Watford will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Championship draw with Bristol City on November 7. In that match, Watford had 64% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Watford | 64% | 12 (10) | 1.38 | 53 |
 Bristol City | 36% | 6 (4) | 0.69 | 33 |
Derby vs Watford Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 0.96 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Watford average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Derby 12-8
Watford 14-12
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.2
Watford to win: @2.875
Lineups
Derby (3-4-2-1) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Sondre Klingen Langas, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, Ebou Adams, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton, Patrick Agyemang, Carlton Morris
Watford (4-3-3) : Nathan Baxter, Jeremy Ngakia, Kevin Keben, Matthew Pollock, Marc Bola, Hector Matthew Kyprianou, Imran Louza, Edo Kayembe, Othmane Maamma, Luca Kjerrumgaard, Kwadwo Baah
Coventry 
Middlesbrough 
Ipswich 
Preston 
Millwall 
Watford 
Hull 
Stoke 
Wrexham 
Bristol City 
QPR 
Leicester 
Derby 
Birmingham 
Southampton 
Sheff Utd 
Swansea 
West Brom 
Charlton 
Blackburn 
Portsmouth 
Norwich 
Oxford Utd 
Sheff Wed