Our Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction: 3-1
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:35 GMT kick-off on Friday March 6, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Adelaide United's Last Match – Adelaide United vs Perth Glory
Adelaide United will hope to extend their good run following a 4-0 Australia A-League win against Perth Glory on February 20. In that match, Adelaide United recorded 50% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adelaide United | 50% | 12 (6) | 1.71 | 50 |
 Perth Glory | 50% | 4 (0) | 1 | 51 |
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC
Wellington Phoenix will look to get back on track following a 0-5 Australia A-League loss against Auckland FC on February 21. In that match, Wellington Phoenix controlled 49% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wellington Phoenix | 49% | 7 (1) | 0.44 | 44 |
 Auckland FC | 51% | 9 (5) | 1.38 | 27 |
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Stats
Key Stats
| Adelaide United | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 1.31 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Adelaide United are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Wellington Phoenix average 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded per game.
Adelaide United 20-16
Wellington Phoenix 18-24
What are the odds for this match?
Adelaide United to win: @1.909
Draw: @3.75
Wellington Phoenix to win: @3.4
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