Our Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction: 2-1
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Australia A-League victory over Brisbane Roar in their last outing. In that match, Wellington Phoenix controlled 34% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brisbane Roar | 66% | 9 (4) | 1.36 | 60 |
 Wellington Phoenix | 34% | 7 (4) | 1.36 | 32 |
Adelaide United's Last Match – Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners
After suffering a 0-4 Australia A-League loss to Central Coast Mariners, Adelaide United must win to get back on track. In that match, Adelaide United recorded 70% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adelaide United | 70% | 13 (6) | 1.85 | 70 |
 Central Coast Mariners | 30% | 12 (6) | 2.43 | 30 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Stats
Key Stats
| Wellington Phoenix | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 1.13 | Defence Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wellington Phoenix are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Adelaide United average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix 15-18
Adelaide United 14-16
What are the odds for this match?
Wellington Phoenix to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.7
Adelaide United to win: @2.75
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix (3-5-2) : Eamonn McCarron, Matt Sheridan, Manjrekar James, Isaac Hughes, Tim Payne, Ramy Najjarine, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Lukas Kelly-Heald, Eze Ifeanyi, Corban Piper
Adelaide United (4-2-3-1) : Joshua Smits, Jonny Yull, Jay Barnett, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Luke Duzel, Ryan White, Panashe Madanha, Juan Muniz, Craig Goodwin, Anselmo de Moraes
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