Our Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction: 1-1
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 05:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 12, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Melbourne City's Last Match – Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Australia A-League triumph against Central Coast Mariners on April 7. In that match, Melbourne City had 60% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne City | 60% | 14 (8) | 1.89 | 74 |
 Central Coast Mariners | 40% | 6 (2) | 1.4 | 28 |
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Australia A-League victory over Melbourne Victory, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Wellington Phoenix recorded 50% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne Victory | 50% | 7 (3) | 0.31 | 54 |
 Wellington Phoenix | 50% | 7 (2) | 1.56 | 39 |
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Stats
Key Stats
| Melbourne City | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Attacking Strength | 1 |
| 0.73 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Melbourne City are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Wellington Phoenix average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Melbourne City 11-10
Wellington Phoenix 13-19
What are the odds for this match?
Melbourne City to win: @1.666
Draw: @4
Wellington Phoenix to win: @4.75
Lineups
Melbourne City (4-3-3) : Patrick Beach, Nathaniel Atkinson, German Ferreyra, Samuel Souprayen, Aziz Behich, Elbasan Rashani, Zane Schreiber, Daniel Arzani, Marcus Younis, Andreas Kuen, Andrew Nabbout
Wellington Phoenix (4-4-2) : Joshua Oluwayemi, Tim Payne, Bill Tuiloma, Isaac Hughes, Dan Edwards, Ramy Najjarine, Alex Rufer, Paulo Retre, Kazuki Nagasawa, Eze Ifeanyi, Corban Piper