Our Wrexham vs Chelsea Prediction: 2-1
Wrexham vs Chelsea in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Wrexham vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wrexham's Last Match – Wrexham vs Portsmouth
Wrexham must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 England Championship victory over Portsmouth in their last outing. In that match, Wrexham recorded 41% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wrexham | 41% | 6 (6) | 0.54 | 33 |
 Portsmouth | 59% | 3 (1) | 0.53 | 58 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Burnley
Chelsea will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Premier League share of the spoils with Burnley on February 21. In that match, Chelsea had 66% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 66% | 7 (2) | 1.81 | 59 |
 Burnley | 34% | 8 (4) | 0.58 | 28 |
Wrexham vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Wrexham | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Attacking Strength | 1.35 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wrexham are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Wrexham 19-16
Chelsea 22-10
What are the odds for this match?
Wrexham to win: @6.5
Draw: @5
Chelsea to win: @1.4