Our Derby vs Wrexham Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Wrexham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Derby vs Wrexham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Middlesbrough
Derby will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 England Championship success over Middlesbrough on January 1. In that match, Derby controlled 32% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 32% | 4 (3) | 0.99 | 24 |
 Middlesbrough | 68% | 12 (5) | 1.21 | 56 |
Wrexham's Last Match – Blackburn vs Wrexham
Determined to maintain their recent success, Wrexham must win following their 2-0 England Championship victory against Blackburn on January 1. In that match, Wrexham had 47% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blackburn | 53% | 5 (1) | 0.63 | 27 |
 Wrexham | 47% | 4 (3) | 0.77 | 22 |
Derby vs Wrexham Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Wrexham average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Derby 14-14
Wrexham 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.25
Wrexham to win: @3.1
Lineups
Derby (3-4-2-1) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Sondre Klingen Langas, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, Liam Thompson, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton, Patrick Agyemang, Rhian Brewster
Wrexham (3-1-4-2) : Arthur Okonkwo, Max Cleworth, Dominic Hyam, Callum Doyle, Matty James, Ryan Longman, Ben Sheaf, George Thomason, Josh Windass, Nathan Broadhead, Sam Smith
Coventry 
Middlesbrough 
Ipswich 
Preston 
Millwall 
Watford 
Hull 
Stoke 
Wrexham 
Bristol City 
QPR 
Leicester 
Derby 
Birmingham 
Southampton 
Sheff Utd 
Swansea 
West Brom 
Charlton 
Blackburn 
Portsmouth 
Norwich 
Oxford Utd 
Sheff Wed