Our Wrexham vs Derby Prediction: 2-3
Wrexham vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 11:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday September 27, 2025. A 2-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
This Wrexham vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wrexham's Last Match – Wrexham vs Reading
Determined to maintain their recent success, Wrexham must win following their 2-0 England EFL Cup victory against Reading on September 23. In that match, Wrexham recorded 46% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 46% | 0 (6) | 1.7 | 49 |
![]() | 54% | 0 (5) | 0.55 | 51 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Preston
Derby must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 England Championship defeat against Preston on September 20. In that match, Derby controlled 48% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 48% | 6 (3) | 0.3 | 39 |
![]() | 52% | 7 (6) | 0.79 | 33 |
Wrexham vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
Wrexham | Derby | |
---|---|---|
1.23 | Attacking Strength | 1.16 |
2.38 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
1.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wrexham are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Wrexham 19-18
Derby 16-17
What are the odds for this match?
Wrexham to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.3
Derby to win: @3.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Wrexham (3-4-2-1) : Arthur Okonkwo, Max Cleworth, Dominic Hyam, Lewis Brunt, Issa Kabore, George Dobson, Ben Sheaf, Ryan Longman, Josh Windass, Lewis O'Brien, Kieffer Moore
Derby (3-4-2-1) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Max Johnston, Lewis Travis, Ebou Adams, Patrick Agyemang, Andreas Weimann, Ben Brereton, Carlton Morris