Our Derby vs Wrexham Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Wrexham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Derby vs Wrexham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Middlesbrough
Derby will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 England Championship success over Middlesbrough on January 1. In that match, Derby controlled 32% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 32% | 4 (3) | 0.99 | 24 |
 Middlesbrough | 68% | 12 (5) | 1.21 | 56 |
Wrexham's Last Match – Blackburn vs Wrexham
Determined to maintain their recent success, Wrexham must win following their 2-0 England Championship victory against Blackburn on January 1. In that match, Wrexham had 47% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blackburn | 53% | 5 (1) | 0.63 | 27 |
 Wrexham | 47% | 4 (3) | 0.77 | 22 |
Derby vs Wrexham Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Wrexham average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Derby 14-14
Wrexham 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.25
Wrexham to win: @3.1
Lineups
Derby (3-4-2-1) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Sondre Klingen Langas, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, Liam Thompson, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton, Patrick Agyemang, Rhian Brewster
Wrexham (3-1-4-2) : Arthur Okonkwo, Max Cleworth, Dominic Hyam, Callum Doyle, Matty James, Ryan Longman, Ben Sheaf, George Thomason, Josh Windass, Nathan Broadhead, Sam Smith