Our Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 26, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Bayer Leverkusen on April 11. In that match, Borussia Dortmund saw 52% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 52% | 10 (1) | 1.15 | 70 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 48% | 9 (4) | 0.6 | 38 |
SC Freiburg's Last Match – Mainz vs SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Mainz, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, SC Freiburg recorded 49% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 51% | 9 (3) | 0.63 | 48 |
 SC Freiburg | 49% | 5 (3) | 0.57 | 40 |
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while SC Freiburg average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 20-13
SC Freiburg 18-13
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.48
Draw: @4.333
SC Freiburg to win: @6.25