Our Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Prediction: 2-1
Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 23:20 GMT kick-off on Wednesday April 22, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
After suffering a 2-3 Colombia Primera A loss to Atletico Nacional Medellin, Independiente Medellin must win to get back on track. In that match, Independiente Medellin recorded 40% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Medellin | 40% | 11 (7) | 0.42 | 26 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 60% | 14 (8) | 1.73 | 31 |
Boyaca Chico's Last Match – Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico
Boyaca Chico will hope to recover from their recent 0-5 Colombia Primera A setback against Atletico Bucaramanga on April 12. In that match, Boyaca Chico saw 48% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Bucaramanga | 52% | 14 (9) | 1.16 | 42 |
 Boyaca Chico | 48% | 5 (0) | 0.81 | 18 |
Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Stats
Key Stats
| Independiente Medellin | Boyaca Chico | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.4 |
| 1.3 | Defence Strength | 1.57 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independiente Medellin are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Boyaca Chico average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.