Our Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Prediction: 3-1
Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 5, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Bucaramanga
After suffering a 1-2 Colombia Primera A loss to Atletico Bucaramanga, Independiente Medellin must win to get back on track. In that match, Independiente Medellin saw 58% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Independiente Medellin | 58% | 12 (10) | 2.43 | 47 |
Atletico Bucaramanga | 42% | 5 (4) | 0.58 | 22 |
Boyaca Chico's Last Match – Once Caldas vs Boyaca Chico
Boyaca Chico will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 Colombia Primera A defeat at the hands of Once Caldas on February 28. In that match, Boyaca Chico had 38% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Once Caldas | 62% | 11 (10) | 2.1 | 79 |
Boyaca Chico | 38% | 7 (3) | 0.35 | 12 |
Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Stats
Key Stats
| Independiente Medellin | Boyaca Chico | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 0.59 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 1.7 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independiente Medellin are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Boyaca Chico average 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.



Independiente Medellin
Atletico Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
Boyaca Chico
Deportivo Pasto
America de Cali
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Bucaramanga
Deportivo Cali
Aguilas Doradas
Millonarios
Fortaleza CEIF
Llaneros
Independiente Santa Fe
Jaguares de Cordoba
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta Deportivo
Deportivo Pereira
Boyaca Chico