Our Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction: 3-2
Brighton vs Bournemouth in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Monday January 19, 2026. A 3-2 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Brighton's Last Match – Man Utd vs Brighton
Brighton will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 England FA Cup victory over Man Utd on January 11. In that match, Brighton saw 40% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man Utd | 60% | 17 (7) | 1.73 | 65 |
 Brighton | 40% | 7 (4) | 1.13 | 32 |
Bournemouth's Last Match – Newcastle vs Bournemouth
Bournemouth will seek to go one better this time following a 3-3 England FA Cup share of the spoils with Newcastle on January 10. In that match, Bournemouth controlled 37% of possession and managed 15 shots on goal, with 13 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 63% | 16 (7) | 3.85 | 82 |
 Bournemouth | 37% | 15 (13) | 2.46 | 41 |
Brighton vs Bournemouth Stats
Key Stats
| Brighton | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 1.86 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brighton are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Bournemouth average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Brighton 14-13
Bournemouth 18-23
What are the odds for this match?
Brighton to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.9
Bournemouth to win: @3.8