Our Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 2-1
Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag in the Azerbaijan Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Friday April 24, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Neftchi Baku's Last Match – Neftchi Baku vs Araz FK
Neftchi Baku will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Azerbaijan Premier League win against Araz FK on April 11. In that match, Neftchi Baku saw 44% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Neftchi Baku | 44% | 0 (8) | - | 53 |
Araz FK | 56% | 0 (4) | - | 44 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – Shamakhi FK vs FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Azerbaijan Premier League draw against Shamakhi FK on April 11. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 73% possession and 5 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Shamakhi FK | 27% | 0 (0) | - | 28 |
FK Qarabag | 73% | 0 (5) | - | 104 |
Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Neftchi Baku | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | Attacking Strength | 1.36 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Neftchi Baku are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 2.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.



Neftchi Baku
Araz FK
Shamakhi FK
FK Qarabag
Sabah
FK Qarabag
PFK Turan Tovuz
Zira IK
Neftchi Baku
Araz FK
FK Sumqayit
Shamakhi FK
FK Kapaz
FK Gabala
FK Karvan