Our FK Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction: 1-0
FK Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku in the Azerbaijan Premier League is scheduled for an 14:44 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for FK Qarabag seems the most probable outcome against Neftchi Baku.
Our prediction comes from detailed stats and betting data — scroll down for team performance trends and recent form insights.
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Recent Form Insights
FK Qarabag's Last Match – FK Qarabag vs Chelsea
FK Qarabag will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 UEFA Champions League draw with Chelsea on November 5. In that match, FK Qarabag had 39% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Qarabag | 39% | 6 (3) | 1.65 | 28 |
 Chelsea | 61% | 11 (4) | 1.07 | 52 |
Neftchi Baku's Last Match – Neftchi Baku vs FK Kapaz
Determined to maintain their recent success, Neftchi Baku must win following their 5-1 Azerbaijan Premier League victory against FK Kapaz on November 1. In that match, Neftchi Baku recorded 51% possession and 9 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Neftchi Baku | 51% | 0 (9) | - | 85 |
 FK Kapaz | 49% | 0 (4) | - | 62 |
FK Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Stats
Key Stats
| FK Qarabag | Neftchi Baku | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.17 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
FK Qarabag are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Neftchi Baku average 1.9 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
FK Qarabag 
PFK Turan Tovuz 
Sabah 
Zira IK 
FK Sumqayit 
Araz FK 
Neftchi Baku 
Shamakhi FK 
FK Gabala 
FK Karvan 
FK Kapaz