Our Italy vs Moldova Prediction: 4-0
Italy vs Moldova in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Monday June 9, 2025. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 4-0 for the match between Italy and Moldova.
Our prediction is supported by key Italy vs Moldova stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Italy's Last Match – Norway vs Italy
Italy will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 Europe - World Cup Qualifying defeat at the hands of Norway on June 6. In that match, Italy had 62% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Norway | 38% | 6 (5) | 1.62 | 29 |
 Italy | 62% | 5 (1) | 0.2 | 58 |
Moldova's Last Match – Poland vs Moldova
After suffering a 0-2 International Match loss to Poland, Moldova must win to get back on track. In that match, Moldova saw 50% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poland | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 82 |
 Moldova | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 45 |
Italy vs Moldova Stats
Key Stats
| Italy | Moldova | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Attacking Strength | 0.42 |
| 0.42 | Defence Strength | 2.13 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Italy are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Moldova average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Italy 17-18
Moldova 9-16
Lineups
Italy (3-5-1-1) : Gianluigi Donnarumma, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Luca Ranieri, Andrea Cambiaso, Davide Frattesi, Samuele Ricci, Sandro Tonali, Federico Dimarco, Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui
Moldova (3-4-3) : Cristian Avram, Vladislav Baboglo, Victor Mudrac, Daniel Dumbravanu, Sergiu Platica, Artur Ionita, Stefan Bodisteanu, Oleg Reabciuk, Mihail Caimacov, Ion Nicolaescu, Virgiliu Postolachi