Our Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: 3-1
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Kakamega Homeboyz's Last Match – Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks
Kakamega Homeboyz must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Kenya Premier League victory over Kariobangi Sharks in their last outing. In that match, Kakamega Homeboyz saw 37% of the ball and 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Kakamega Homeboyz | 37% | 0 (9) | - | 103 |
Kariobangi Sharks | 63% | 0 (2) | - | 61 |
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC
Mara Sugar FC will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Kenya Premier League loss to Administration Police FC on January 24. In that match, Mara Sugar FC recorded 52% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gor Mahia | 68% | 0 (4) | - | 46 |
Mara Sugar FC | 32% | 0 (1) | - | 33 |
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC Stats
Key Stats
| Kakamega Homeboyz | Mara Sugar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | Attacking Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.2 | Defence Strength | 1.41 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Kakamega Homeboyz are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Mara Sugar FC average 0.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.


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