Our Leeds vs Man City Prediction: 2-2
Leeds vs Man City in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Leeds vs Man City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leeds's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Leeds
Leeds should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England Premier League draw against Aston Villa on February 21. In that match, Leeds had 33% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa | 67% | 11 (4) | 1.39 | 71 |
 Leeds | 33% | 6 (4) | 1.35 | 35 |
Man City's Last Match – Man City vs Newcastle
Determined to maintain their recent success, Man City must win following their 2-1 England Premier League victory against Newcastle on February 21. In that match, Man City recorded 55% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 55% | 11 (7) | 1.35 | 58 |
 Newcastle | 45% | 8 (7) | 0.58 | 37 |
Leeds vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Leeds | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 1.28 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leeds are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Man City average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Leeds 16-16
Man City 19-10
What are the odds for this match?
Leeds to win: @5
Draw: @4.333
Man City to win: @1.6
Lineups
Leeds (5-4-1) : Karl Darlow, Jayden Bogle, James Justin, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Man City (4-1-3-2) : Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi, Rayan Ait-Nouri, Rodri, Rayan Cherki, Bernardo Silva, Nico O'Reilly, Antoine Semenyo, Omar Marmoush