Our Real Madrid vs Leganes Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs Leganes in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 29, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Real Madrid vs Leganes prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Villarreal vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Spain La Liga victory over Villarreal, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 54% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Villarreal | 46% | 15 (10) | 1.75 | 75 |
 Real Madrid | 54% | 5 (5) | 1.01 | 43 |
Leganes's Last Match – Leganes vs Real Betis
Leganes must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 Spain La Liga defeat against Real Betis on March 16. In that match, Leganes controlled 35% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leganes | 35% | 3 (4) | 1.03 | 33 |
 Real Betis | 65% | 8 (6) | 2.68 | 49 |
Real Madrid vs Leganes Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Leganes average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 17-10
Leganes 10-17
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.142
Draw: @8
Leganes to win: @17
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Andriy Lunin, Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Francisco Garcia, Brahim Diaz, Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham, Arda Guler, Kylian Mbappe
Leganes (4-2-3-1) : Marko Dmitrovic, Valentin Rosier, Sergio Gonzalez, Matija Nastasic, Javi Hernandez, Yvan Neyou, Renato Tapia, Juan Cruz, Daniel Raba, Oscar, Diego Garcia