Our Real Madrid vs Leganes Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs Leganes in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 29, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Real Madrid vs Leganes prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Villarreal vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Spain La Liga victory over Villarreal, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 54% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Villarreal | 46% | 15 (10) | 1.75 | 75 |
 Real Madrid | 54% | 5 (5) | 1.01 | 43 |
Leganes's Last Match – Leganes vs Real Betis
Leganes must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 Spain La Liga defeat against Real Betis on March 16. In that match, Leganes controlled 35% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leganes | 35% | 3 (4) | 1.03 | 33 |
 Real Betis | 65% | 8 (6) | 2.68 | 49 |
Real Madrid vs Leganes Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Leganes average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 17-10
Leganes 10-17
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.142
Draw: @8
Leganes to win: @17
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-4-2) : Andriy Lunin, Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Francisco Garcia, Brahim Diaz, Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham, Arda Guler, Kylian Mbappe
Leganes (4-2-3-1) : Marko Dmitrovic, Valentin Rosier, Sergio Gonzalez, Matija Nastasic, Javi Hernandez, Yvan Neyou, Renato Tapia, Juan Cruz, Daniel Raba, Oscar, Diego Garcia
Barcelona 
Real Madrid 
Atletico Madrid 
Villarreal 
Real Betis 
Celta Vigo 
Real Sociedad 
Espanyol 
Athletic Bilbao 
Osasuna 
Girona 
Sevilla 
Getafe 
Rayo Vallecano 
CD Alaves 
Valencia 
Elche 
Mallorca 
Levante 
Oviedo