Our Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction: 2-1
Villarreal vs Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Villarreal vs Real Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Villarreal's Last Match – Villarreal vs Ajax
Villarreal will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 UEFA Champions League defeat against Ajax on January 20. In that match, Villarreal had 38% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Villarreal | 38% | 14 (8) | 1.35 | 34 |
 Ajax | 62% | 9 (5) | 0.91 | 51 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Monaco
Real Madrid will hope to extend their good run following a 6-1 UEFA Champions League win against Monaco on January 20. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 49% possession, firing 15 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 49% | 15 (6) | 3.99 | 50 |
 Monaco | 51% | 13 (6) | 1.47 | 57 |
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Villarreal | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | Attacking Strength | 1.76 |
| 0.62 | Defence Strength | 0.76 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Villarreal are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 2.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Villarreal 16-16
Real Madrid 27-14
What are the odds for this match?
Villarreal to win: @3.4
Draw: @3.8
Real Madrid to win: @2