Marseille vs Lyon Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Marseille vs Lyon Prediction: 2-1

Marseille vs Lyon in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.

This Marseille vs Lyon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Marseille's Last Match – Brest vs Marseille

Marseille will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 France Ligue 1 defeat against Brest on February 20. In that match, Marseille recorded 68% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Brest	32%	10 (6)	1.13	20
Marseille	68%	11 (3)	1.42	81

Lyon's Last Match – Strasbourg vs Lyon

Lyon will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 France Ligue 1 setback against Strasbourg on February 22. In that match, Lyon controlled 50% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Strasbourg	50%	12 (7)	2.07	38
Lyon	50%	3 (2)	0.27	17

Marseille vs Lyon Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Marseille are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Lyon average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Marseille to win: @2

Draw: @3.6

Lyon to win: @3.7

Marseille Fixtures

Lyon Fixtures