Our Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction: 4-1
Bayern Munich vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. A 4-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs Sporting
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bayern Munich must win following their 3-1 UEFA Champions League victory against Sporting on December 9. In that match, Bayern Munich saw 60% of the ball and created 23 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich | 60% | 23 (9) | 2.16 | 100 |
 Sporting | 40% | 3 (0) | 0.28 | 23 |
Mainz's Last Match – Lech Poznan vs Mainz
Mainz will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 UEFA Conference League share of the spoils with Lech Poznan on December 11. In that match, Mainz recorded 32% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lech Poznan | 68% | 6 (5) | 2.59 | 43 |
 Mainz | 32% | 10 (5) | 1.22 | 26 |
Bayern Munich vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Bayern Munich | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.47 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 2.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 3.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayern Munich are averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mainz average 0.6 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.