Our Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction: 4-1
Bayern Munich vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. A 4-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bayern Munich must win following their 6-2 Germany Bundesliga I victory against SC Freiburg on November 22. In that match, Bayern Munich saw 72% of the ball and created 15 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich | 72% | 15 (8) | 2.45 | 60 |
 SC Freiburg | 28% | 6 (2) | 0.57 | 26 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs TSG Hoffenheim
Mainz will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I share of the spoils with TSG Hoffenheim on November 21. In that match, Mainz recorded 46% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 46% | 6 (3) | 2.52 | 0 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.47 | 0 |
Bayern Munich vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Bayern Munich | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.47 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 2.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 3.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayern Munich are averaging 3.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.