Our Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-2
Mainz vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 25, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs SC Freiburg
Mainz will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against SC Freiburg on April 12. In that match, Mainz saw 51% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 51% | 9 (3) | 0.63 | 48 |
 SC Freiburg | 49% | 5 (3) | 0.57 | 40 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – St Pauli vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich will hope to extend their good run following a 5-0 Germany Bundesliga I win against St Pauli on April 11. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 77% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 23% | 5 (3) | 0.48 | 14 |
 Bayern Munich | 77% | 12 (8) | 3.39 | 82 |
Mainz vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Attacking Strength | 2.3 |
| 0.61 | Defence Strength | 0.52 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 3.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 3.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Mainz 14-7
Bayern Munich 35-11
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @6.5
Draw: @4.75
Bayern Munich to win: @1.42