Our Strasbourg vs Mainz Prediction: 1-0
Strasbourg vs Mainz in the UEFA Conference League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 16, 2026. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Strasbourg seems the most probable outcome against Mainz.
This Strasbourg vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Strasbourg's Last Match – Mainz vs Strasbourg
Strasbourg must win to recover from their recent 0-2 UEFA Conference League defeat against Mainz on April 9 and regain momentum. In that match, Strasbourg recorded 66% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 34% | 11 (6) | 1.52 | 48 |
 Strasbourg | 66% | 6 (2) | 0.99 | 38 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs SC Freiburg
Mainz will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I setback against SC Freiburg on April 12. In that match, Mainz recorded 51% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 51% | 9 (3) | 0.63 | 48 |
 SC Freiburg | 49% | 5 (3) | 0.57 | 40 |
Strasbourg vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Strasbourg | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 0.45 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 0.32 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Strasbourg are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Strasbourg 15-10
Mainz 14-7
What are the odds for this match?
Strasbourg to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.6
Mainz to win: @3.9
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925