Our Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction: 4-1
Marseille vs Le Havre in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:05 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 18, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Marseille vs Le Havre prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Metz vs Marseille
Marseille will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 France Ligue 1 triumph against Metz on October 4. In that match, Marseille saw 62% of the ball and created 18 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Metz | 38% | 3 (1) | 0.14 | 22 |
Marseille | 62% | 18 (9) | 2.45 | 46 |
Le Havre's Last Match – Le Havre vs Rennes
Le Havre will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 France Ligue 1 share of the spoils with Rennes on October 5. In that match, Le Havre had 43% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Le Havre | 43% | 9 (2) | 1.66 | 46 |
Rennes | 57% | 7 (5) | 1.02 | 48 |
Marseille vs Le Havre Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | Attacking Strength | 1.28 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Le Havre average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.



Metz
Marseille
Le Havre
Rennes
PSG
Marseille
Lens
Strasbourg
Lille
Monaco
Lyon
Rennes
Nice
Toulouse
Paris FC
Le Havre
Angers
Metz
Brest
Nantes
Lorient
Auxerre