Our Nairobi United vs Tusker Prediction: 1-1
Nairobi United vs Tusker in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Friday April 17, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Nairobi United vs Tusker prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nairobi United's Last Match – Posta Rangers vs Nairobi United
Nairobi United will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-0 Kenya Cup victory over Posta Rangers on April 12. In that match, Nairobi United controlled 43% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Posta Rangers | 57% | 0 (6) | - | 45 |
Nairobi United | 43% | 0 (5) | - | 36 |
Tusker's Last Match – Tusker vs Gor Mahia
Tusker will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Kenya Premier League success over Gor Mahia on April 14. In that match, Tusker saw 41% of the ball and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tusker | 41% | 0 (1) | - | 70 |
 Gor Mahia | 59% | 0 (7) | - | 120 |
Nairobi United vs Tusker Stats
Key Stats
| Nairobi United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.31 | Defence Strength | 0.88 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nairobi United are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.