Our Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction: 1-2
Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 23, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
This Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Necaxa's Last Match – Queretaro vs Necaxa
Necaxa must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Queretaro on April 11. In that match, Necaxa recorded 70% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Queretaro | 30% | 10 (6) | 1.75 | 40 |
 Necaxa | 70% | 3 (1) | 0.46 | 48 |
Chivas Guadalajara's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Chivas Guadalajara
After suffering a 1-4 Mexico Liga MX loss to Tigres UANL, Chivas Guadalajara must win to get back on track. In that match, Chivas Guadalajara controlled 68% of possession and managed 1 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tigres UANL | 32% | 4 (6) | 1.18 | 14 |
 Chivas Guadalajara | 68% | 1 (7) | 0.91 | 72 |
Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Necaxa | Chivas Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.33 |
| 1 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Necaxa are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Chivas Guadalajara average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.