Our Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction: 1-1
Burnley vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday December 30, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Burnley vs Newcastle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Chelsea
After suffering a 0-2 England Premier League loss to Chelsea, Burnley must win to get back on track. In that match, Burnley recorded 44% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.44 | 31 |
 Chelsea | 56% | 9 (5) | 1.59 | 45 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Marseille vs Newcastle
Newcastle must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 UEFA Champions League defeat against Marseille on November 25. In that match, Newcastle recorded 42% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 58% | 12 (7) | 1.64 | 59 |
 Newcastle | 42% | 11 (9) | 1.46 | 52 |
Burnley vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | Attacking Strength | 0.63 |
| 1.11 | Defence Strength | 0.91 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.