Our Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction: 1-1
Burnley vs Newcastle in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday December 30, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Burnley vs Newcastle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Everton
Burnley should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 England Premier League draw against Everton on December 27. In that match, Burnley recorded 55% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 55% | 9 (0) | 1.65 | 59 |
 Everton | 45% | 12 (6) | 0.88 | 43 |
Newcastle's Last Match – Man Utd vs Newcastle
Newcastle must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 England Premier League defeat against Man Utd on December 26. In that match, Newcastle recorded 67% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man Utd | 33% | 9 (3) | 1.17 | 21 |
 Newcastle | 67% | 7 (3) | 1.18 | 95 |
Burnley vs Newcastle Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | Attacking Strength | 0.58 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Newcastle average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Burnley 10-19
Newcastle 17-14
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @5.5
Draw: @4
Newcastle to win: @1.615
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Lineups
Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Josh Laurent, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino Luis, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja, Loum Tchaouna
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schar, Lewis Hall, Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon