Our Newcastle vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Newcastle vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 6, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Newcastle vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Marseille vs Newcastle
After suffering a 1-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Marseille, Newcastle must win to get back on track. In that match, Newcastle recorded 42% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 58% | 12 (7) | 1.64 | 59 |
 Newcastle | 42% | 11 (9) | 1.46 | 52 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Chelsea
Burnley will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 England Premier League loss to Chelsea on November 22. In that match, Burnley had 44% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.44 | 31 |
 Chelsea | 56% | 9 (5) | 1.59 | 45 |
Newcastle vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Burnley average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.