Our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: 2-1
Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday September 24, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid
Determined to get back to winning ways, Atletico Madrid must win after their 1-1 Spain La Liga draw against Mallorca on September 21. In that match, Atletico Madrid recorded 58% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mallorca | 42% | 6 (3) | 0.59 | 48 |
 Atletico Madrid | 58% | 9 (7) | 2.16 | 65 |
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Spain La Liga share of the spoils with Celta Vigo on September 21. In that match, Rayo Vallecano had 59% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 59% | 9 (5) | 0.96 | 60 |
 Celta Vigo | 41% | 5 (5) | 0.8 | 46 |
Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Madrid are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Rayo Vallecano average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid 14-10
Rayo Vallecano 20-9
What are the odds for this match?
Atletico Madrid to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.5
Rayo Vallecano to win: @6
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
Lineups
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Jan Oblak, Nahuel Molina, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko, Javi Galan, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez
Rayo Vallecano (4-4-2) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Alemao, Unai Lopez, Pep Chavarria, Ivan Balliu, Isi Palazon, Fran Perez, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Florian Lejeune, Oscar Valentin
Real Madrid 
Barcelona 
Villarreal 
Real Betis 
Atletico Madrid 
Sevilla 
Elche 
Athletic Bilbao 
Espanyol 
CD Alaves 
Getafe 
Osasuna 
Levante 
Rayo Vallecano 
Valencia 
Celta Vigo 
Oviedo 
Girona 
Real Sociedad 
Mallorca