Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 0-1

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 15, 2026. Atletico Madrid’s disciplined approach could see them grind out a narrow 0-1 win over Rayo Vallecano in what is expected to be a tense affair.

This Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 Spain La Liga defeat at the hands of Real Madrid on February 1. In that match, Rayo Vallecano saw 43% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Real Madrid	57%	13 (6)	2.14	87
Rayo Vallecano	43%	7 (4)	0.95	38

Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

Atletico Madrid will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 Spain Copa del Rey victory over Barcelona on February 12. In that match, Atletico Madrid controlled 35% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Atletico Madrid	35%	8 (8)	2.77	31
Barcelona	65%	9 (4)	1.08	46

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Rayo Vallecano are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 1.7 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Rayo Vallecano to win: @4.2

Draw: @3.7

Atletico Madrid to win: @1.833

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino, Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau, Ilias Akhomach, Isi Palazon, Fran Perez, Jorge De Frutos

Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Jan Oblak, Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri, Thiago Almada, Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya, Johnny Cardoso, Alex Baena, Nico Gonzalez, Alexander Sorloth

Rayo Vallecano Fixtures

Atletico Madrid Fixtures