Our Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 0-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 15, 2026. Atletico Madrid’s disciplined approach could see them grind out a narrow 0-1 win over Rayo Vallecano in what is expected to be a tense affair.
This Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 Spain La Liga defeat at the hands of Real Madrid on February 1. In that match, Rayo Vallecano saw 43% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 57% | 13 (6) | 2.14 | 87 |
 Rayo Vallecano | 43% | 7 (4) | 0.95 | 38 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
Atletico Madrid will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 Spain Copa del Rey victory over Barcelona on February 12. In that match, Atletico Madrid controlled 35% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 35% | 8 (8) | 2.77 | 31 |
 Barcelona | 65% | 9 (4) | 1.08 | 46 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Rayo Vallecano | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 0.53 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rayo Vallecano are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 1.7 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano 11-17
Atletico Madrid 17-6
What are the odds for this match?
Rayo Vallecano to win: @4.2
Draw: @3.7
Atletico Madrid to win: @1.833
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino, Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau, Ilias Akhomach, Isi Palazon, Fran Perez, Jorge De Frutos
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Jan Oblak, Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri, Thiago Almada, Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya, Johnny Cardoso, Alex Baena, Nico Gonzalez, Alexander Sorloth
Real Madrid 
Barcelona 
Villarreal 
Atletico Madrid 
Real Betis 
Espanyol 
Celta Vigo 
Real Sociedad 
Athletic Bilbao 
Osasuna 
Getafe 
Girona 
Sevilla 
CD Alaves 
Valencia 
Elche 
Rayo Vallecano 
Mallorca 
Levante 
Oviedo