Our Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction: 2-1
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sevilla's Last Match – Real Betis vs Sevilla
Sevilla will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Spain La Liga draw against Real Betis on March 1. In that match, Sevilla recorded 55% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Betis | 45% | 6 (2) | 1.58 | 27 |
 Sevilla | 55% | 9 (6) | 0.84 | 41 |
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Spain La Liga victory over Oviedo in their last outing. In that match, Rayo Vallecano had 52% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 52% | 12 (7) | 2.44 | 56 |
 Oviedo | 48% | 4 (2) | 0.99 | 38 |
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Stats
Key Stats
| Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 0.71 |
| 1.15 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sevilla are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Rayo Vallecano average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Sevilla 10-17
Rayo Vallecano 15-14
What are the odds for this match?
Sevilla to win: @2.55
Draw: @3.1
Rayo Vallecano to win: @3
Lineups
Sevilla (3-5-2) : Odysseas Vlachodimos, Cesar Azpilicueta, Tanguy Nianzou, Nemanja Gudelj, Kike Salas, Juanlu, Lucien Agoume, Djibril Sow, Oso, Akor Adams, Alexis Sanchez
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino, Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau, Carlos Martin, Isi Palazon, Fran Perez, Jorge De Frutos