Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction: 2-1
Barcelona vs Real Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Barcelona's Last Match – Inter Milan vs Barcelona
Barcelona will hope to recover from their recent 3-4 UEFA Champions League setback against Inter Milan on May 6. In that match, Barcelona recorded 71% possession, attempting 20 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Inter Milan | 29% | 10 (7) | 2.27 | 34 |
 Barcelona | 71% | 20 (10) | 2.73 | 86 |
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Real Madrid will hope to extend their good run following a 3-2 Spain La Liga win against Celta Vigo on May 4. In that match, Real Madrid recorded 54% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 54% | 14 (6) | 2.12 | 47 |
 Celta Vigo | 46% | 11 (7) | 1.96 | 50 |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | Attacking Strength | 1.42 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.62 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Barcelona are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Real Madrid average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Barcelona 23-17
Real Madrid 17-18
What are the odds for this match?
Barcelona to win: @1.95
Draw: @4
Real Madrid to win: @3.4
Lineups
Barcelona (4-2-3-1) : Wojciech Szczesny, Eric Garcia, Pau Cubarsi, Inigo Martinez, Gerard Martin, Frenkie De Jong, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha, Ferran Torres
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) : Thibaut Courtois, Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Raul Asencio, Francisco Garcia, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior
Athletic Bilbao 
Atletico Madrid 
Osasuna 
Elche 
CD Alaves 
Espanyol 
Barcelona 
Getafe 
Girona 
Levante 
Rayo Vallecano 
Celta Vigo 
Mallorca 
Real Betis 
Real Madrid 
Oviedo 
Real Sociedad 
Sevilla 
Valencia 
Villarreal