Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs Sevilla in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Elche vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Spain La Liga draw against Elche on November 23. In that match, Real Madrid saw 52% of the ball and created 16 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elche | 48% | 12 (6) | 1.66 | 59 |
 Real Madrid | 52% | 16 (7) | 3.06 | 70 |
Sevilla's Last Match – Espanyol vs Sevilla
Sevilla will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Spain La Liga setback against Espanyol on November 24. In that match, Sevilla controlled 67% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Espanyol | 33% | 8 (5) | 1.11 | 35 |
 Sevilla | 67% | 12 (6) | 1.91 | 48 |
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | Attacking Strength | 1.12 |
| 0.52 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Sevilla average 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.