Our Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Prediction: 2-1
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 11, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Sofapaka FC vs Tusker prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sofapaka FC's Last Match – KCB vs Sofapaka FC
Sofapaka FC will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Kenya Premier League defeat against KCB on December 7. In that match, Sofapaka FC had 39% possession and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KCB | 61% | 0 (1) | - | 78 |
 Sofapaka FC | 39% | 0 (0) | - | 61 |
Tusker's Last Match – Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars
Tusker will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Kenya Premier League triumph against Ulinzi Stars on December 5. In that match, Tusker recorded 53% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tusker | 53% | 0 (3) | - | 109 |
 Ulinzi Stars | 47% | 0 (3) | - | 92 |
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Stats
Key Stats
| Sofapaka FC | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 1.43 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sofapaka FC are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Gor Mahia 
AFC Leopards 
Kakamega Homeboyz 
Tusker 
KCB 
Bandari FC 
Mathare United 
Posta Rangers 
Kariobangi Sharks 
Ulinzi Stars 
Sofapaka FC