Our Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Prediction: 2-1
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 11, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Sofapaka FC vs Tusker prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sofapaka FC's Last Match – Sofapaka FC vs Ulinzi Stars
Sofapaka FC will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Kenya Premier League defeat against Ulinzi Stars on November 24. In that match, Sofapaka FC had 54% possession and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sofapaka FC | 54% | 0 (6) | - | 52 |
 Ulinzi Stars | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 54 |
Tusker's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Tusker
Tusker will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Kenya Premier League loss to Gor Mahia on November 22. In that match, Tusker recorded 46% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gor Mahia | 54% | 0 (5) | - | 49 |
 Tusker | 46% | 0 (2) | - | 52 |
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Stats
Key Stats
| Sofapaka FC | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 1.43 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sofapaka FC are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Tusker average 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.