Our Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Prediction: 2-1
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 11, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Sofapaka FC vs Tusker prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sofapaka FC's Last Match – KCB vs Sofapaka FC
Sofapaka FC will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Kenya Premier League defeat against KCB on December 7. In that match, Sofapaka FC had 39% possession and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KCB | 61% | 0 (1) | - | 78 |
 Sofapaka FC | 39% | 0 (0) | - | 61 |
Tusker's Last Match – Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars
Tusker will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Kenya Premier League triumph against Ulinzi Stars on December 5. In that match, Tusker recorded 53% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tusker | 53% | 0 (3) | - | 109 |
 Ulinzi Stars | 47% | 0 (3) | - | 92 |
Sofapaka FC vs Tusker Stats
Key Stats
| Sofapaka FC | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 1.43 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sofapaka FC are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.