Our Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Cruz Azul in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 7, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Puebla vs Toluca
Toluca should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Puebla on January 31. In that match, Toluca had 70% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Puebla | 30% | 4 (1) | 0.52 | 18 |
Toluca | 70% | 15 (5) | 2.08 | 82 |
Cruz Azul's Last Match – Vancouver FC vs Cruz Azul
Determined to maintain their recent success, Cruz Azul must win following their 3-0 CONCACAF Champions Cup victory against Vancouver FC on February 5. In that match, Cruz Azul saw 71% of the ball and created 24 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vancouver FC | 29% | 12 (1) | 0.6 | 25 |
Cruz Azul | 71% | 24 (6) | 2.07 | 65 |
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 0.54 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Cruz Azul average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.



Puebla
Toluca
Cruz Azul
Chivas Guadalajara
Cruz Azul
Unam Pumas
Toluca
Pachuca
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
Atlas
Necaxa
Club America
Atletico San Luis
Tijuana
Puebla
Queretaro
Juarez FC
Leon
Mazatlan FC
Santos Laguna