Our Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Cruz Azul in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 7, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Puebla vs Toluca
Toluca should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Puebla on January 31. In that match, Toluca had 70% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 30% | 4 (1) | 0.52 | 18 |
 Toluca | 70% | 15 (5) | 2.08 | 82 |
Cruz Azul's Last Match – Vancouver FC vs Cruz Azul
Determined to maintain their recent success, Cruz Azul must win following their 3-0 CONCACAF Champions Cup victory against Vancouver FC on February 5. In that match, Cruz Azul saw 71% of the ball and created 24 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vancouver FC | 29% | 12 (1) | 0.6 | 25 |
 Cruz Azul | 71% | 24 (6) | 2.07 | 65 |
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | Attacking Strength | 0.99 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 0.54 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Cruz Azul average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.