Toluca vs Cruz Azul Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Toluca Logo
Toluca 2.0
DWWWLWLD
2 : 1
CORRECT SCORE
Cruz Azul Logo
1.2 Cruz Azul
WWLLLDDW

Our Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction: 2-1

Toluca vs Cruz Azul in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 7, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.

This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.

→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions

Recent Form Insights

Toluca's Last Match – Puebla vs Toluca

Toluca should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Puebla on January 31. In that match, Toluca had 70% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.

TeamPossessionShots (on target)xGDangerous Attacks
Puebla Logo Puebla
30%4 (1)0.5218
Toluca Logo Toluca
70%15 (5)2.0882

Cruz Azul's Last Match – Vancouver FC vs Cruz Azul

Determined to maintain their recent success, Cruz Azul must win following their 3-0 CONCACAF Champions Cup victory against Vancouver FC on February 5. In that match, Cruz Azul saw 71% of the ball and created 24 goal attempts, with 6 on target.

TeamPossessionShots (on target)xGDangerous Attacks
Vancouver FC
29%12 (1)0.625
Cruz Azul Logo Cruz Azul
71%24 (6)2.0765

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Stats

Key Stats

Toluca Cruz Azul
1.68Attacking Strength0.99
0.82Defence Strength0.54
2Points Per Game1.2
6/10WIN3/10
2/10DRAW3/10
4/10Clean Sheets3/10
4/10BTTS7/10
4/10Over 2.5 Goals5/10
1.3Average Scored1.3

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Toluca are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Cruz Azul average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Toluca
11-7

Cruz Azul
18-13

Toluca Fixtures

Toluca - Tijuana
February 14, 2026
Necaxa - Toluca
February 22, 2026
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara
February 28, 2026

Cruz Azul Fixtures

Cruz Azul - Vancouver FC
February 13, 2026
Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL
February 15, 2026
Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara
February 22, 2026

Toluca Recent Results

  • Wins 50% 5
  • Draws 30% 3
  • Lost 20% 2
  • Goals Scored 1.1/match 11
  • Goals Conceded 0.7/match 7
MatchDateScore
14
Feb
Toluca
Tijuana
1
0
07
Feb
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
31
Jan
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
18
Jan
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
15
Jan
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
11
Jan
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
15
Dec
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
12
Dec
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
07
Dec
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
04
Dec
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0

Cruz Azul Recent Results

  • Wins 60% 6
  • Draws 10% 1
  • Lost 30% 3
  • Goals Scored 2.1/match 21
  • Goals Conceded 1.1/match 11
MatchDateScore
15
Feb
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
2
1
13
Feb
Cruz Azul
Vancouver FC
5
0
07
Feb
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
05
Feb
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
31
Jan
Juarez FC
Cruz Azul
3
4
18
Jan
Cruz Azul
Puebla
1
0
14
Jan
Cruz Azul
Atlas
2
0
11
Jan
Leon
Cruz Azul
2
1
05
Jan
Jaiba Brava
Cruz Azul
2
1
10
Dec
Cruz Azul
Flamengo
1
2

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between Toluca and Cruz Azul indicates that, in their previous 15 meetings, Toluca has secured 5 victories, Cruz Azul has won 6 times and 4 matches have concluded in a draw. Across these encounters, Toluca has scored 21 goals, while Cruz Azul has netted 25 goals.

MatchDateScore
Toluca - Cruz Azul07 Feb 20261-1
Cruz Azul - Toluca24 Aug 20251-0
Toluca - Cruz Azul20 Apr 20252-2
Cruz Azul - Toluca21 Jul 20241-1
Toluca - Cruz Azul28 Apr 20240-1
Cruz Azul - Toluca08 Jul 20230-2
Toluca - Cruz Azul12 Feb 20233-1
Toluca - Cruz Azul23 Dec 20221-1
Cruz Azul - Toluca14 Aug 20222-3
Toluca - Cruz Azul21 Feb 20221-4
Cruz Azul - Toluca15 Aug 20214-0
Cruz Azul - Toluca16 May 20213-1
Toluca - Cruz Azul13 May 20212-1
Cruz Azul - Toluca21 Feb 20213-2
Toluca - Cruz Azul04 Oct 20202-0

Mexico Liga MX Table & Standings

#TeamMatchesGoals ForGoals AgainstPoints
1
Chivas Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara
611418
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
611713
3
Unam Pumas Unam Pumas
612612
4
Toluca Toluca
66212
5
Pachuca Pachuca
67411
6
Monterrey Monterrey
610510
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
610610
8
Atlas Atlas
66710
9
Necaxa Necaxa
6989
10
Club America Club America
6338
11
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
610107
12
Tijuana Tijuana
6557
13
Puebla Puebla
6465
14
Queretaro Queretaro
6585
15
Juarez FC Juarez FC
68124
16
Leon Leon
6594
17
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
66133
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
66191

Toluca vs Cruz Azul — FAQs

What is the correct score prediction?
We predict 2-1.

Is BTTS a good bet?
Yes, both teams show scoring potential.

Our Toluca vs Cruz Azul prediction offers expert insights into this exciting matchup, analyzing key stats, team form and goal expectations to help you make informed betting decisions.

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