Our Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1
Cruz Azul vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:05 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 24, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Cruz Azul's Last Match – Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-2 Mexico Liga MX triumph against Santos Laguna on August 17. In that match, Cruz Azul recorded 64% possession, attempting 22 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cruz Azul | 64% | 22 (10) | 3.04 | 121 |
 Santos Laguna | 36% | 3 (2) | 0.31 | 41 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Orlando City SC
Toluca will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Leagues Cup share of the spoils with Orlando City SC on August 21. In that match, Toluca controlled 51% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 51% | 8 (1) | 0.76 | 61 |
 Orlando City SC | 49% | 3 (1) | 0.24 | 34 |
Cruz Azul vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Cruz Azul | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Attacking Strength | 1.6 |
| 0.64 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Cruz Azul are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Cruz Azul 17-19
Toluca 22-13
What are the odds for this match?
Cruz Azul to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.7
Toluca to win: @3.7
Lineups
Cruz Azul (4-4-2) : Kevin Mier, Jorge Sanchez, Willer Ditta, Gonzalo Piovi, Jesus Orozco, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Carlos Rodriguez, Erik Lira, Ignacio Rivero, Angel Sepulveda, Jose Paradela
Toluca (4-3-3) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Federico Pereira, Antonio Briseno, Bruno Mendez, Diego Zaragoza, Hector Herrera, Marcel Ruiz, Jesus Gallardo, Ricardo Angulo, Robert Morales, Alexis Vega
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