Our Puebla vs Toluca Prediction: 0-2
Puebla vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Puebla vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Puebla's Last Match – Cruz Azul vs Puebla
Puebla will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Mexico Liga MX setback against Cruz Azul on January 18. In that match, Puebla saw 26% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cruz Azul | 74% | 21 (10) | 1.63 | 101 |
Puebla | 26% | 3 (0) | 0.17 | 17 |
Toluca's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Toluca
Determined to get back to winning ways, Toluca must win after their 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Tigres UANL on January 18. In that match, Toluca had 50% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL | 50% | 4 (2) | 0.26 | 31 |
Toluca | 50% | 6 (4) | 0.45 | 42 |
Puebla vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Puebla | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.73 | Defence Strength | 0.36 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Puebla are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Puebla 14-21
Toluca 13-7
What are the odds for this match?
Puebla to win: @5.25
Draw: @4
Toluca to win: @1.615



Cruz Azul
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Cruz Azul
Toluca
Chivas Guadalajara
Pachuca
Unam Pumas
Tigres UANL
Atlas
Club America
Monterrey
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Juarez FC
Leon
Mazatlan FC
Tijuana
Necaxa
Queretaro
Santos Laguna