Our Puebla vs Toluca Prediction: 1-3
Puebla vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:05 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 15, 2025. A 1-3 result in favor of the away side seems likely, but given the offensive strengths of both teams, over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative bet.
This Puebla vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Puebla's Last Match – Puebla vs Unam Pumas
Puebla will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 Mexico Liga MX defeat at the hands of Unam Pumas on March 8. In that match, Puebla saw 45% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Puebla | 45% | 11 (4) | 1.13 | 30 |
Unam Pumas | 55% | 10 (3) | 0.74 | 39 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Necaxa
Toluca must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 5-2 Mexico Liga MX victory over Necaxa in their last outing. In that match, Toluca recorded 60% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toluca | 60% | 16 (8) | 2.17 | 39 |
Necaxa | 40% | 10 (3) | 0.89 | 42 |
Puebla vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Puebla | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.55 |
| 1.47 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Puebla are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Puebla 11-16
Toluca 23-13
What are the odds for this match?
Puebla to win: @4.5
Draw: @4.2
Toluca to win: @1.65
Lineups
Puebla (3-4-1-2) : Julio Gonzalez, Jose Rodrigo Pachuca Martinez, Juan Manuel Fedorco, Efrain Orona, Gustavo Ferrareis, Franco Moyano, Emanuel Gularte, Fernando Arce, Facundo Waller, Luis Quinones, Ricardo Marin
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Pau Lopez, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Antonio Briseno, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Hector Herrera, Marcel Ruiz, Juan Dominguez, Paulinho, Alexis Vega, Edgar Lopez