Our Puebla vs Toluca Prediction: 0-2
Puebla vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Puebla vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Puebla's Last Match – Cruz Azul vs Puebla
Puebla will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Mexico Liga MX setback against Cruz Azul on January 18. In that match, Puebla saw 26% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cruz Azul | 74% | 21 (10) | 1.63 | 101 |
Puebla | 26% | 3 (0) | 0.17 | 17 |
Toluca's Last Match – Tigres UANL vs Toluca
Determined to get back to winning ways, Toluca must win after their 0-0 Mexico Liga MX draw against Tigres UANL on January 18. In that match, Toluca had 50% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tigres UANL | 50% | 4 (2) | 0.26 | 31 |
Toluca | 50% | 6 (4) | 0.45 | 42 |
Puebla vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Puebla | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.73 | Defence Strength | 0.36 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Puebla are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Puebla 14-21
Toluca 13-7
What are the odds for this match?
Puebla to win: @5.25
Draw: @4
Toluca to win: @1.615



Cruz Azul
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Toluca