Our Toluca vs Juarez FC Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs Juarez FC in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Unam Pumas vs Toluca
Toluca will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 Mexico Liga MX victory over Unam Pumas on March 4. In that match, Toluca controlled 61% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unam Pumas | 39% | 8 (7) | 2.47 | 18 |
 Toluca | 61% | 10 (8) | 2.61 | 74 |
Juarez FC's Last Match – Club America vs Juarez FC
Determined to maintain their recent success, Juarez FC must win following their 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory against Club America on March 5. In that match, Juarez FC recorded 33% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club America | 67% | 10 (5) | 1.27 | 44 |
 Juarez FC | 33% | 10 (4) | 1.92 | 34 |
Toluca vs Juarez FC Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | Juarez FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Juarez FC average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Toluca 16-5
Juarez FC 14-16
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.333
Draw: @5
Juarez FC to win: @9
Lineups
Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Luis Garcia, Diego Zaragoza, Antonio Briseno, Luan, Mauricio Isais, Marcel Ruiz, Fernando Arce, Helinho, Francisco Cordova, Nicolas Federico Castro, Franco Rossi
Juarez FC (4-1-4-1) : Sebastian Jurado, Francisco Nevarez, Jesus Murillo, Moises Mosquera, Alejandro Mayorga, Denzell Garcia, Jairo Torres, Monchu, Rodolfo Pizarro, Jose Luis Rodriguez, Oscar Estupinan